Ottawa Real Estate: First Quarter 2024 Insights and Findings

As we move forward into the new year, I want to express my sincere appreciation for your continued trust and support. Your partnership is invaluable to me and I am committed to serving you with excellence in the months ahead.

With the first quarter of 2024 now behind us, it's time to reflect on the notable trends and developments that have shaped the real estate landscape in Ottawa. Let's take a closer look at the insights and observations that emerged during this period, guiding us as we navigate the ever-evolving market.

Market Overview

In the broader real estate market, Q1 2024 was marked by a mix of challenges and opportunities against the backdrop of both domestic and global economic conditions. The Bank of Canada maintained its target for the overnight rate at 5%, continuing its policy of quantitative tightening. Globally, economic growth moderated in the fourth quarter, with varying performances across regions. In Canada, while the economy saw better-than-expected growth in the fourth quarter, the pace remained modest, reflecting ongoing challenges and below-potential performance.

Key Economic Indicators:

  • Real GDP expanded by 1% in Q4 2023, with modest consumption growth and a rebound in export activity.

  • Employment growth lagged behind population growth, indicating minimal wage pressures and a modest surplus of labor.

  • CPI inflation eased to 2.9% in January, driven by moderation in goods prices. Shelter costs remained high, contributing to overall inflation, with core inflation measures stable in the 3% to 3.5% range.

Real Estate Market Performance

Against this economic backdrop, the real estate market in Ottawa displayed resilience and adaptability. Transaction volumes remained stable, with slight fluctuations across different property types. While the luxury market saw notable increases in price thresholds, the overall market exhibited a mix of stable pricing and modest increases.

  • Detached homes market showed signs of stability, with a moderate year-over-year price increase and healthy transaction volumes.

  • Condo market pricing surged in March, with a notable increase in both year-over-year and quarterly figures, outpacing other property types.

  • Pricing for row houses and semi-detached properties remained relatively stable during the quarter.

While economic uncertainties persist, the real estate market in Ottawa continues to offer opportunities for buyers and sellers alike.

The Luxury Market

In the realm of luxury real estate, Manotick Village & Manotick Estates has maintained its premier position, with McKellar/Highland and Meadowlands/St. Claire Gardens also emerging as top markets, collectively contributing over 31.2% to total luxury sales volume. Following closely, Old Ottawa South and Dow’s Lake command a 8.6% share, showcasing their desirability within the luxury segment.

The luxury market in Ottawa exhibited robustness, boasting a total sales volume of $108,361,581 for Q1 2024. Defined by inventory comprising the top 5% of sales, the luxury market saw a threshold of $1,446,700, marking a 7.1% increase over last year.

Insights from Luxury Retail Market

LVMH, a leader in the luxury retail market, offers valuable insights into long-term sustainable growth strategies. Their approach, characterized by steady growth across all brand levels and a focus on group results, serves as a model for success in the luxury industry.

When applied to real estate, this strategy underscores the importance of neighborhoods and collective synergy in driving desirability. Just as LVMH carefully manages each brand within its portfolio to ensure alignment with the group's values, real estate developers and homeowners must consider the collective appeal of neighborhoods and surrounding properties.

In today's market, desirability is not solely determined by the quality of an individual home but by the collective synergy of the neighborhood. Homebuyers are increasingly seeking communities that offer a unique blend of amenities, architectural styles, and lifestyle options. As such, developers must focus not only on building exceptional homes but also on curating neighborhoods that offer a cohesive and appealing living experience.

Similarly, homebuyers must consider the broader context of a neighborhood when searching for their dream home. Beyond the property itself, factors such as neighborhood amenities, architectural diversity, and community atmosphere play a crucial role in determining long-term satisfaction and value appreciation.

In essence, the retail trend of managing brands for collective success translates to the real estate market as a recognition of the interconnectedness of neighborhoods and the importance of building and buying homes within vibrant and harmonious communities.

 

Top Neighbourhoods by Sales Volume for First Quarter 2024

Emerald Meadows/Trailwest

  • Volume: $58,353,548

  • % of Q1 Sales: 3.69%

  • Units Sold: 83

Riverside South/Gloucester Glen

  • Volume: $50,125,228

  • Percent of Q1 Sales: 3.17%

  • Units Sold: 64

Blossom Park/Findlay Creek

  • Volume: $40,846,020

  • Percent of Q1 Sales: 2.58%

  • Units Sold: 59

 

Top Neighbourhoods by Median Sale Price for First Quarter 2024

(3+ Unit Sale Districts Only)

McKellar/Highland

  • Volume: $18,778,880

  • Median Sale Price: $1,655,000

  • Units Sold: 9

Manotick Village & Manotick Estates

  • Volume: $9,789,000

  • Median Sale Price: $1,950,000

  • Units Sold: 5

Meadowlands/St. Claire Gardens

  • Volume: $5,253,000

  • Median Sale Price: $1,750,000

  • Units Sold: 3

 

© 2024 HAUS COLLECTION REALTY LIMITED. ALL WORLDWIDE RIGHTS RESERVED. ALL MATERIAL PRESENTED HEREIN IS INTENDED FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. WHILE, THIS INFORMATION IS BELIEVED TO BE CORRECT, IT IS REPRESENTED SUBJECT TO ERRORS, OMISSIONS, CHANGES OR WITHDRAWAL WITHOUT NOTICE. THIS INFORMATION IS BASED ON DATA FROM THE OTTAWA REAL ESTATE BOARD AND INTERPRETED BY HAUS COLLECTION REALTY LIMITED. DATA HAS BEEN LIMITED TO SALES REPORTED WITHIN THE CITY OF OTTAWA BOUNDARY. IF YOUR PROPERTY IS CURRENTLY LISTED WITH ANOTHER REAL ESTATE BROKER, OR YOUR ARE UNDER A BUYER REPRESENTATION CONTRACT WITH ANOTHER REAL ESTATE BROKER, PLEASE DISREGARD THIS OFFER. IT IS NOT OUR INTENTION TO SOLICIT THE OFFERINGS OF OTHER REAL ESTATE BROKERS.

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Ottawa Real Estate: February 2024 Insights and Findings